Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.024821 0.026695 0.028651 0.030846 0.033244 0.035787 0.038692
2025-01-19 0.022022 0.024731 0.027705 0.031224 0.035287 0.039847 0.045375
2025-01-26 0.019920 0.023099 0.026725 0.031190 0.036571 0.042885 0.050908
2025-02-02 0.018578 0.022112 0.026272 0.031567 0.038181 0.046239 0.056903
2025-02-09 0.017191 0.020905 0.025391 0.031262 0.038819 0.048326 0.061357
2025-02-16 0.016115 0.019968 0.024731 0.031120 0.039569 0.050510 0.065997
2025-02-23 0.015150 0.019089 0.024056 0.030867 0.040098 0.052371 0.070263
2025-03-02 0.014402 0.018428 0.023602 0.030843 0.040884 0.054573 0.075098
2025-03-09 0.013586 0.017622 0.022895 0.030411 0.041050 0.055885 0.078706
2025-03-16 0.012800 0.016808 0.022123 0.029827 0.040940 0.056761 0.081687
2025-03-23 0.012196 0.016205 0.021600 0.029547 0.041224 0.058192 0.085562
2025-03-30 0.011648 0.015649 0.021108 0.029272 0.041480 0.059568 0.089417
2025-04-06 0.011014 0.014949 0.020385 0.028632 0.041163 0.060073 0.091950
2025-04-13 0.010714 0.014706 0.020298 0.028917 0.042253 0.062795 0.098273
2025-04-20 0.010338 0.014336 0.020007 0.028873 0.042822 0.064719 0.103395
2025-04-27 0.010099 0.014151 0.019975 0.029214 0.044003 0.067681 0.110502
2025-05-04 0.009708 0.013723 0.019559 0.028934 0.044167 0.068973 0.114764
2025-05-11 0.009381 0.013378 0.019251 0.028804 0.044557 0.070652 0.119830
2025-05-18 0.009050 0.013012 0.018893 0.028574 0.044761 0.072015 0.124401
2025-05-25 0.008791 0.012744 0.018673 0.028552 0.045307 0.073989 0.130260
2025-06-01 0.008458 0.012350 0.018240 0.028158 0.045191 0.074781 0.133896
2025-06-08 0.008111 0.011922 0.017738 0.027625 0.044803 0.075055 0.136522
2025-06-15 0.007847 0.011613 0.017411 0.027370 0.044884 0.076178 0.140920